April’s Election By The Numbers

Today, April 30, 2013, the election results posted at the county clerk website have become official. Here are some numbers

Final Tallies

  • Orr wins by 62 with 531 total votes from 1295 voters (41.00%) out of 7032 registered voters.
  • Strong 2nd with 469 votes (36.22%)
  • Gilmour 3rd with 180 votes (13.9%)
  • Neises 4th with 115 votes (8.88%)

The Absentee Voters

The absentee and provisional voting ended up being the story of this election. Evidently Mayor Orr was able to motivate people to the polls early, taking a commanding 75 of those 127 votes for 59.06%. Neises and Gilmour performed at about the same pace as the general election in gaining 12 votes for 9.45%, and 13 votes for 10.25%, respectively. That’s less than 1% improvement for Neises and just over 4% worse for Gilmour. Strong’s campaign fell apart here as he was only able to garner 27 of these critical votes for just 21.26%, over 16% worse than the election day results.

Victim of a 4-Way Race?

With Orr’s final lead being just 62 votes, if even just one of Neises or Gilmour didn’t run we could easily be looking at a second term for Roy Strong. Between Neises and Gilmour there could have been another 295 votes to split between Orr and Strong, and Strong would have needed just 61% of those votes (which were already cast against a progressive mayor) in a two man race to take the office.

Orr’s 531 votes are 1 less than Strong’s 532 in a losing effort in 2009. This year’s election saw 125 more votes cast in an election with slightly lower overall turnout. This year’s was 18.42%, compared to 2009’s 18.83% voter turnout.

Severance Packages

For those keeping score at home, all three whom voted against the severance packages (Marty Orr, Helen Hoppe, Larry Hall) have never lost an election since the day those packages were approved by Strong’s administration. They are a combined 3/3 and have a collective 10 years in office remaining.

Those who voted to handcuff mayor-elect Orr (Floyd Combes, Joseph Hermes, Frank Studer, Russ Gilmour, Jonathan Mietzner) have not fared as well… only four years later just one of the bunch is still in office. Combes had already barely lost (5 votes) his re-election bid just weeks before voting in favor of the packages as a lame duck Alderman in 2009. Mietzner had just won a tight race (9 vote win) over Fran Tutor in 2009 before voting yes. Tutor then put Hermes out of office two years later in 2011. Mietzner never ran for re-election after approving of the packages, dropping out of the 2013 race after three other candidates had filed petitions to run. Gilmour chose to not run for re-election in 2011, before losing in the mayor’s race of 2013. The lone member of this group to have won re-election is Studer, who won an unopposed election in Ward 4 in 2011.

Other Factoids

The best percentage performance in any precinct was Orr’s 75% from Wesley. If you only include precincts with 100 voters or more, the best was Orr’s 43.48% win in Wilmington #2.

Alderwoman Neises received fewer votes from the entire city (115) than she did from just her own ward when she was elected in 2009 (185) over an opponent viewed as a cohort of outgoing mayor Roy Strong. She did best in Wilmington #2, but that still amounted to just 10.03% and 4th place within the precinct.

Gilmour’s best result, not counting the 2 total votes 66.67% in Custer, was 14.48% from Wilmington #1.

Just one contested race for Wilmington city office had a winner emerge with 53% or greater of the vote, that being Joe Van Duyne’s 63.66% in a 3-way race for Ward 3.

Final official numbers show 0.3% turnout for the Custer precinct and 0.8% turnout for Wesley. Wilmington’s #3 had the highest turnout in the city, with 40.98%, far above #1’s 27.69% and #2’s 22.57%

Strong faired best in Wilmington #3, earning 40.86% of the vote and winning the precinct. It was the only precinct with 80+ actual voters that Orr did not win.

Even after all the votes were counted, there’s a better than 9 in 10 chance that any random Wilmington voter did not vote for the Mayor, with Orr taking in just 7.5% of the possible vote from all registered voters.


This wraps up the April 2013 election coverage, hope you learned something or at least found a snippet to memorize for use in conversation.

References:
2009 Election Results
2011 Election Results
2013 Election Results

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